Death comes to Queen's day: Serious security breaches

5 die and 13 are injured by a lone 'maniac' during Queen's Day

I have just witnessed the most apalling scenes at the Netherland's Queen's day celebration. It was disrupted and brought to a sudden and tragic end with the breakdown of weak security measures, quickly followed by poor crisis and incidence response measures. A complete abomination from a security risk and threat analysis, and from a public safety viewpoint. The time taken to respond and control the situation was woefully inadequate. If this had been a real incident, 'carnage' would have resulted. Whoever was responsible for the risk and threat assessment on this, is in the wrong business.

The incident today showed a complete lack of awareness for current threat reduction, vulnerability mitigation and crisis response management, prevalent in the rest of the world today. The arrogance and naivity inherent in providing this level of security to the NL Royal Family and the surrounding crowds, is both negligent and incompetent.

The ease by which a lone driver was able to breach the weak security measures was shocking but the response provided, during and following the incident was severely incompetent. If this had proved to be a real attempt to assasinate the Dutch Royal family by a cynical and trained group, then it would have been highly successful to a frightening degree and would have faced no serious resistance from the surrounding security forces.

Even following the incident there were no guns drawn; the car was not isolated to protect the Royal family and the surging crowd; there were no signs of protecting or rapid removal of the 'targets'; any anti-explosion measures were ignored; the 'containment' measures were non-existant, it was a dangerously embarassing and highly volatile situation that could have been easily exploited to a devastating effect.

I have studied the counter-terrorist measures of the Israelis, the South Afrikaans and the UK. I was online to the authortities in NY, both during the aftermath and the months following 9/11, offering support and advice.

The UK's own Royal Family has been at the centre of a number of attacks going back over several decades and have been a target of many such maniacs.

In 1974 a gunman tried to abduct Princess Anne as she and her first husband, Captain Mark Phillips, were being driven along the Mall in London after a charity film show. Would-be kidnapper Ian Ball forced the car to a halt and brandished a pistol. I had the pleasure of meeting the police detective that took 2 bullets for Princess Anne on this occasion and I have to say that he was a most modest and self-effacing man. The stuff that 'heroes' are made of.

Having spent the last 30 years of my life studying such incidents, with specific concern for the impact and consequences inflicted on civilian and security agencies. The effect of trauma on the victims, witnesses and spectators alike. It is with this close scrutiny of rare but extreme events and incidents perpetrated on the UK mainland by the IRA and others, that I am appalled at how easily the security today was compromised and how easily the Dutch Royal family could have been assailed and possibly assasinated. The transfer of trauma will be on an enormous scale.

When are the Netherland authorities going to realise that they have become a target for terrorism. Partly because they have proclaimed to the world that they are setting themselves up as the centre of justice for the war against international terrorists, organised criminals, sadistic dictators and mass murderers of all kinds.

Do not be mistaken, I applaude the Dutch in their stance against the evil that is so freely conducted. The establishment of the International Criminal Court against mass murderers wherever and however they manifest themselves, is a good and honourable achievement, even if it is somewhat tainted by the smell of the additional revenues that this will bring to local law firms and the other spin-off benefits that the NL authorities encourage. Unfortunately, in the eyes of the bad guys this also makes the NL a 'legitimate' target and by association the Duth people via the Dutch Royal family and other symbols of the 'establishment'.

The incident today was shocking and unbelieveable for a country that believes this sort of behaviour can only be perpetrated on them by others. I thought the world had already learned this harsh lesson. The US and the UK have certainly learned that the biggest threat comes from 'home grown' terrorist groups. Who else knows your weaknesses better than your close family and who else can get close to you to do you damage?

Let's not forget the victims in all this, and I offer them heart-felt condolenses to the victims of this incident and their families, they did not deserve this, no-one does. It will take them many years to rationalise this but clearly, they expected more protection from their guardians than was on offer today and they should demand better protection for the future. Substantial measures that go beyond the hype and rhetoric of politicians.

I also hope and pray that the NL authorites can contain the wave of xenophobia and the right-wing, anti-foreigner lobby that will spring up in the wake of this incident. Queen's day is already a symbol of white, Christian, conservative NL. There were few oriental or coloured faces on show in Apeldoorn. Marginalised and excluded from these occasions, it is easy for extremists to build on this 'pro-white' image and to corrupt the minds of the young people in NL. We must prevent this kind of backlash and counter-strike mentality that drives sectarianism and terrorism alike.

There are many serious questions here, and hard lessons to be learned. I hope everyone is open to them. The future is full of uncertainty and we need to be strong and determined to prevent terrorism and anti-social behaviour gaining ground. We have to be proactive and smart about it, not reactive and emotional. We need to address the cause of exclusion and dysfunction in this society and give the victims of this a voice to express themselves in a reasonable and rational manner. Otherwise they will find other ways to crash the party and express themselves in a dysfuntional way.

What is certain about the future, is that the 2010 Queen's day will be very different, perhaps more secure and less relaxed than previous years. The end of a dream, a childlike naivity and an optimistic but distorted perception of liberal NL. This may be a sad thing to propose but it is a more realistic approach, a practical sign of our times and the price we pay for the defense of civilisation, eternal vigilance.